Duration: 2 Days
In this course, you will address the competencies and skills essential to successfully analyzing data. You will gain the essential knowledge of probability theory and the skills necessary to apply the techniques and formulas employed in statistical analysis of data. Through individual and group exercises, you will gain insight into the practical application of the material in the analysis of business problems and in identifying and quantifying the risks associated with decision making and forecasting future results. You will also examine the future of analytics, the changing role of business analysts, and the role of the IT.
What You Will Learn
- Scope and impact of
applying quantitative methods to the analysis of data
- Basic concepts of probability theory and statistical analysis techniques
- Apply statistical techniques to forecast future performance
- Use quantitative analysis to support key management decisions by identifying
significant trends and correlation between business results and controllable and
incontrollable variables
- Establish business process performance metrics and the mechanism to track
business process performance
- Document the business needs for information and
its impact on defining the data requirements
- Apply the concepts of a
probability model and distribution, taking into account the impact of
uncertainty
- Analyze the business environment in which your project occurs
- Extract information from a sample of data observations
- Concepts of
statistical inference to draw conclusions about the shape and parameters of a
probability distribution from the results of a sample
- Apply the required test
to confirm the validity of the parameters obtained from a sample
- Establish
confidence intervals on the estimated sample parameters
- Apply the
statistical model to extract information on the impact of significant variables
on the results of a selected performance variable (or dependent variable)
Audience
Business and systems analysts, product managers, operations research analysts, marketing analysts, data modelers and administrators, project or program managers, and database analysts (DBAs)
Prerequistes
Course Outline
1. Data Analysis and Analytics
- Definition and history
- Current technology environment and the growing availability of data
- Role of the business analyst
- Applications for gaining competitive advantages
- Fact
based decision making
- Process tracking and control
2. Need for Information
- Identifying operational and executive information classes
- Modeling key decisions and the needs for information
- Key
business transactions and documents
- Map information needs
to data requirements
- Executive information needs and the balanced scorecard
- Tracking and managing business process performance
- Selecting measures and targets
- Measuring performance and
finding performance gaps
- Root cause analysis
3.
Application of Probability and Probability Distributions
- Key concepts and essentials
- Decision making under
uncertainty
- Random variables
- Population and sample
- Discrete and continuous
distributions
- Properties of
a distribution
- Normal
distribution
- Other
distributions
- Poisson
- Exponential
- Binomial
- Establishing confidence intervals
4. Data
Exploration Concepts and Formulas
- Basic Concepts
- Types of variables
- Selecting dependent and independent variables
- Sample vs.
population
- Descriptive
measures of a sample
- Key sample parameters
- Variability
- Measures of shape
- Histograms
- Establishing and
analyzing correlation among different variables
- Curve fitting and explanation of variance
5.
Statistical Inference
- Sampling distributions
- Performing the t-test and degrees of freedom
- Establishing confidence interval for the mean and standard deviation
- Selecting sample size
6. Regression and
Multiple Regression
- Formulating a hypothesis
- Regression and multiple regression analysis
- Inference and goodness of fit
- Testing adequacy of model and establishing confidence intervals
7. Forecasting
- Forecasting methods and models
- Use of history and
independent variables
- Long and short term forecast
- Heuristics
- Time series
analysis
- Establishing
trends and business cycles (i.e. seasonality) and confidence limits
- Selecting independent variables for predictive model
8.
Decision Support
- Scope of
the decision and measure of performance
- Controllable and uncontrollable variables
- Uncertainty and risk analysis
- What if analysis
- Identification and description of needed information types
9.
Data Mining and Data Warehousing
- Data mining concepts and application
- Application benefits of data warehousing
Exercises:
Exercise 1:
Execute Excel function to estimate parameters of a given probability
distribution. From these results establish the expected value, standard
deviation, and the confidence limits. Apply these properties in reviewing a
given business situation to address a problem and establish the necessary
business rules.
Exercise 2: Data sets will be provided to calculate a number
of parameters with the help of Excel. Working in teams a given business scenario
will be examined and the data entered on Excel to fit a curve and estimate the
degree of correlation and for explaining the variance of the dependent variable.
You will determine the significant variables impacting the chosen dependent
variable and determine the performance metrics required for effective tracking
of the performance of the given business area.
Exercise 3: Individual
practices will be conducted for you to learn and execute the needed formulas
available in Excel. A group exercise will apply these concepts to a business
scenario to determine the value on a real business situation.
Exercise 4:
A number of individual practices will provide you with knowledge of the
functionality provided by Excel. Working in teams, you will apply the techniques
required to calculate performance gaps and to determine root causes of the
observed deviations. You will establish a model for establishing a performance
target and tracking future performance and identify significant deviations.
Formulate a model for tracking the performance of a business process and
establish the method for identifying significant deviations with the certainty
and time required
Exercise 5: Apply a number of forecasting techniques with
the aid of Excel. Once this is complete, you will review a business scenario
with data on history of actual results, past forecasts, and the correlation of
the dependent variable on a number of external factors to prepare a forecast.
You will revise the projection based on your judgment and expertise.
Exercise
6: This group exercise will provide you with information on the scope of a given
decision and the additional facts required for you to document the controllable
variables and the measure of performance. Additional information will be
provided on the history of results and the occurrence of a set of independent
variables to select the critical independent variables impacting the decision.
You will estimate the uncertainty and describe the risks. Information will be
provided to determine the degree of uncertainty and associated risks. The
required information needed to support the given decision and the impact on the
data requirements will be documented.
Course Labs